Week ending September 3, 2010
Review of the emerging-markets bond sector, including: news, spreads, issuance and Payden & Rygel's outlook.
Emerging market dollar-pay debt spreads tightened marginally
this week as risk markets in general performed well on
the back of some better-than-expected global data releases.
The US dollar-pay JP Morgan EMBI Global index returned
12.53% (year-to-date through September 2nd, 2010).
In Brazil, the Central Bank kept its benchmark interest
rate (Selic) unchanged at 10.75%, in a unanimous decision
by policy committee members. In a statement following the
announcement they indicated that the current level of the
Selic rate is sufficient to keep inflation in line with the
targeted trajectory. Local rates were higher and currency
stronger following the announcement.
In China, the headline
Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose by 0.5% to 51.7% for
August, a larger-than- expected increase. New orders for
metal products were one of the main contributors to the rise.
Risk appetite increased following the announcement as investors
saw this as a sign that the global economic recovery is still
intact.
| Spreads |
9/02/10 |
6/30/10 |
12/31/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
| EMBI Global |
+308 |
+358 |
+294 |
+724 |
+254 |
| Investment Grade |
+205 |
+243 |
+187 |
+525 |
+162 |
| BB-rated |
+405 |
+471 |
+385 |
+838 |
+271 |
| B-rated |
+557 |
+611 |
+559 |
+1,506 |
+473 |
| Yields |
9/02/10 |
6/30/10 |
12/31/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
| GBI-EM Global Div |
6.41 |
6.84 |
7.30 |
7.54 |
7.56 |
| Brazil (Ba1/BBB+) |
11.38 |
12.04 |
12.14 |
12.65 |
12.69 |
| Indonesia (B1/ BB+) |
8.59 |
8.94 |
10.23 |
11.84 |
10.18 |
| Turkey (Ba3/BB) |
8.35 |
8.98 |
9.40 |
16.50 |
16.10 |
Visit the Weekly Emerging Markets Review & Outlook archives page to browse past editions of the publication.